Valkyries vs Sun prediction: odds and best prop bets
The Golden State Valkyries are heavy favorites in Wednesday's valkyries sun clash at Mohegan Sun Arena, listed at -800 on the moneyline and -13.5 on the spread per Sports Illustrated. Connecticut's first back-to-back of 2026 and Golden State's league-best defense point to a low-scoring night. SI backs the UNDER 152.5, while Yahoo Sports expects the Valkyries to sweep the season series 3-0.
Key Takeaways
- Golden State (26-11) is 2-0 against Connecticut this season and holds the WNBA's No. 1 defense.
- The Sun (10-27) play their first back-to-back after beating Chicago on Tuesday, with Brittney Griner and Olivia Nelson-Ododa questionable.
- SI's top plays: UNDER 152.5 and Janelle Salaun 12+ points; Covers.com targets Sun +13.5 and Aaliyah Edwards Over 11.5 points.
- A Valkyries win would widen their cushion over Las Vegas in the race for the No. 2 seed.
Why Does the Valkyries vs Sun Game Matter Tonight?
Tonight's WNBA schedule may look like non-playoff teams battling, but the lone playoff squad in action has plenty at stake. The No. 2-seeded Valkyries travel to Connecticut for the third and final meeting of 2026, and a win would create separation from the Las Vegas Aces—currently just one game back in the standings, according to Yahoo Sports.
Golden State upset Minnesota on Monday to stay alive for the top seed, holding the Lynx to 66 points. Connecticut, meanwhile, secured a feel-good home win over Chicago on Tuesday as 5.5-point underdogs—but that effort comes with a price.
What Do the Valkyries vs Sun Odds Say?
DraftKings lists Golden State at -800 on the moneyline and -13.5 on the spread (-102), with Connecticut at +550 and +13.5 (-118). The game total sits at 152.5, with the Under priced at -115, per Sports Illustrated.
Covers.com's parlay board uses a slightly lower total of 151.5 but still leans Under, pairing it with Sun +13.5 and Aaliyah Edwards Over 11.5 points for a 2.72x payout. Tip-off is 7:00 p.m. ET at Mohegan Sun Arena, with coverage on NBC Sports Boston, KPIX+, and WNBA League Pass.
Which WNBA Prop Bets Stand Out for Aug. 26?
SI highlights Janelle Salaun 12+ points (-142). The Valkyries forward dropped 16 in the last Sun meeting, averages 13.1 PPG, and has hit 12 or more in 20 of 36 games—including three straight.
Covers backs Edwards Over 11.5 points after her 26-point career night Tuesday. She has scored 12-plus in five of her last six games while Griner and Nelson-Ododa have been sidelined. For broader WNBA betting angles, see our Bizarre World coverage hub.
Who Wins the Valkyries vs Sun Matchup?
Golden State has dominated this series, holding Connecticut to 70 or fewer points in both prior meetings (combined totals of 167 and 143). The Sun rank last in effective field goal percentage and offensive rating, while the Valkyries allow fewer than 77 points per night.
Yahoo Sports predicts a 3-0 season sweep for Golden State. SI agrees the Valkyries should control a "winnable matchup" but favors the Under over the spread given Connecticut's home defensive rating and the fatigue factor. Connecticut held four Valkyries starters under 10 points last time—expect another defensive battle rather than a shootout.