New England Revolution at D.C. United: prediction and odds
D.C. United host New England Revolution at Audi Field on Wednesday, August 19, 2026, at 7:30 p.m. ET in a midweek MLS Eastern Conference test. This new england united clash favors goals: Sportsgambler's top pick is Over 2.5 at -137, with a projected 2-1 Revolution road win as Wilson Harris and Carles Gil face Tai Baribo's five-game scoring streak.
The Revs sit fourth in the East at 9-7-3 (30 points) but have dropped back-to-back results, including a 2-1 loss at Toronto FC where they outshot the hosts 24-3. D.C. United are ninth at 5-5-9 (24 points) and have drawn six of their last eight games, most recently a 1-1 tie at CF Montréal.
Key Takeaways
- Kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET at Audi Field; the match streams on Apple TV.
- Sportsgambler's best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -137; correct score pick is D.C. 1-2 New England at +650.
- New England have won six of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including a 1-0 home win over D.C. in April.
- Tai Baribo has 12 goals this season; Wilson Harris opened his Revs account in Toronto.
- Match odds: D.C. United +140, New England +165, draw +250.
Who is favored in the D.C. United vs New England Revolution match?
Bookmakers make D.C. United slight home favorites at +140, with New England at +165 and the draw at +250, per Sportsgambler. Despite the home price, analysts lean toward a Revolution result: the site's correct-score call is a 2-1 New England win, and its bet builder includes New England +0.25 on the Asian handicap at -105.
Form tells a split story. New England are fourth in the conference but have taken just five points from eight road games. D.C. have gone unbeaten since mid-May yet struggle to convert draws into wins, going 1-0-3 since the World Cup break.
What are the confirmed lineups for August 19?
Sportsgambler lists confirmed elevens ahead of kickoff. D.C. United deploy a 4-4-2: Sean Johnson; Silvan Hefti, Lucas Bartlett, Sean Nealis, Keisuke Kurokawa; Kimito Nono, Matti Peltola, Andre Dozzell, Jackson Hopkins; Louis Munteanu and Tai Baribo.
New England line up 4-3-3: Matt Turner; Matt Polster, Ethan Kohler, Mamadou Fofana, Will Sands; Brooklyn Raines, Carles Gil, Alhassan Yusuf; Peyton Miller, Dor Turgeman and Jack Harrison. Baribo missed the earlier Foxborough meeting through injury; he returns as the Revs' toughest defensive assignment. Full team context is in the Revolution's official preview.
Why is Over 2.5 goals the top betting pick?
Sportsgambler rates Over 2.5 at -137 as the main wager, citing a 60-65% estimated probability versus a 57.8% implied line. The 2.5 total has hit in four of D.C.'s last five home games, seven of their last 10 at Audi Field, and eight of New England's last 12 road matches.
D.C. have conceded 19 of 30 goals at home this season, per the club preview, giving Harris and Gil a clear path to test the back line. Player props to watch include Andre Dozzell Over 0.5 shots on target at +180 and Carles Gil anytime scorer at +260.
How have both teams performed heading into Audi Field?
Revolution head coach Marko Mitrović called D.C. a side that "doesn't hesitate to finish their actions" and warned of set-piece strength. Defender Mamadou Fofana said the Revs must keep working through narrow defeats: "doing the right things don't pay off" but persistence will.
D.C. are 3-3-3 at Audi Field through nine home dates, while New England need a spark after consecutive losses. For more unconventional sports coverage, see our Bizarre News & Florida Man section.