Mercury vs Tempo prediction, picks and odds for tonight
The Toronto Tempo are favored by about 4.5 to 5.5 points against the shorthanded Phoenix Mercury on Saturday, June 27, at Scotiabank Arena. Covers analysts back Tempo -4.5, Marina Mabrey over 23.5 points, and Kahleah Copper scoring overs near 21.5 as the top mercury tempo betting angles before the 2 p.m. ET tip-off.
It is a landmark night in Toronto and a brutal road spot for Phoenix. The expansion Tempo host their first game at Scotiabank Arena on TSN while the 6-13 Mercury arrive without suspended All-Star Alyssa Thomas. For bettors scanning the lone Saturday slate, the plot is straightforward: Toronto offense is rolling and Phoenix roster is depleted.
Key Takeaways
- Tempo -4.5 (-110) is the consensus best bet; analysts would play Toronto up to -6.5.
- Marina Mabrey 53-point eruption sets up a 23.5-point prop after she scored 30 on Phoenix in May.
- Thomas is suspended; Copper 26.4 points per game over her last five fuel scoring overs.
- First Tempo game at Scotiabank Arena; pre-game coverage starts at 1:30 p.m. ET on TSN.
- Toronto last seven games have cashed the Over.
What Are the Mercury vs Tempo Odds Tonight?
According to Covers, the Tempo sit at -4.5 to -5.5 on the spread, with the moneyline near Tempo -225 and Mercury +185. The total hovers around 176.5 to 177.5 points.
Toronto is 9-9 and clinging to the eighth playoff spot after Mabrey tied the WNBA single-game scoring record with 53 points in a 125-97 rout of the Los Angeles Sparks. Phoenix is 6-13 and will also miss Jovana Nogic, who averages 10.4 points per game.
Who Should You Bet in Mercury vs Tempo?
The featured mercury tempo best bet is Tempo -4.5. Toronto ranks second in the WNBA at 91.4 points per game and opened a nine-game homestand with firepower to spare. Without Thomas, the league assist leader and Phoenix second-leading scorer, the Mercury lack the punch to fully punish Toronto shaky defense.
Prop lean one: Marina Mabrey Over 23.5 points (-105). The WNBA fourth-leading scorer is averaging 37.7 points over her last three on 56.5% shooting. Prop lean two: Kahleah Copper Over 20.5 or 21.5 points. Copper has scored 26.4 per game across her last five, including 28 against Indiana on Wednesday, facing a Tempo defense that allows 92.1 points per game.
A same-game parlay floated at Covers stacks Tempo -4.5 with Copper Over 20.5 and Isabelle Harrison Over 5.5 rebounds. Harrison has grabbed at least six boards in four straight games.
Why Does This Mercury Tempo Game Matter?
Beyond the betting board, this matchup punches above its regular-season weight. TSN calls it the Tempo first-ever contest at Scotiabank Arena, the big-league home of the Maple Leafs and Raptors. Mabrey is averaging 21.2 points on 45.9% shooting and 40.3% from three in Toronto debut WNBA season.
Phoenix chaos compounds the intrigue. Thomas was suspended one game for a flagrant foul on Indiana Fever star Caitlin Clark earlier this week, stripping the Mercury of their engine on a night they can ill afford another loss. Toronto owns a 5-3 home mark in 2026 and beat Phoenix 98-90 in May.
Where Can You Watch Mercury vs Tempo?
Tip-off is set for 2:00 p.m. ET at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Pre-game coverage begins at 1:30 p.m. ET on TSN1, TSN3, TSN.ca and the TSN App. U.S. viewers can catch the game on CBS. For more offbeat sports storylines like expansion-team history nights and record scoring runs, browse our Bizarre World coverage.