Katie Midwinter's Thursday tips: 20/1 Navan fancy leads card
Katie Midwinter's Thursday horse racing tips on Betfair spotlight a 20/1 each-way fancy at Navan: Flaming Rib in the 14:14 handicap. She also backs Loingseoir as her bet of the day at 15/2, with further Betfair odds selections at Navan and Ffos Las as racing heads to Ireland and Wales.
Midwinter published her full card on the Betfair Sportsbook blog ahead of Thursday's action, covering two meetings as punters weigh up value across Irish and Welsh cards. Her headline longshot sits in a competitive six-furlong handicap where she also likes Tornado Kiss at 16/1 each-way.
Key Takeaways
- Flaming Rib is Midwinter's 20/1 each-way Betfair odds pick in Navan's 14:14 handicap.
- Loingseoir is her bet of the day at 15/2 each-way in the 16:15 Navan handicap.
- Betfred's nap is Atlantic Bridge at 7/4 in the 14:44 maiden, a different Navan race.
- Racing TV's Johnny Ward tips Lohengrin (25/1), Cosmic Funk (8/1) and Love Orchid (8/1).
- Colin Keane has seven rides at Navan as Dylan Browne McMonagle sits out after a fall.
Who is Katie Midwinter tipping at Navan on Thursday?
Midwinter has six selections across Navan and Ffos Las, all priced on the Betfair Sportsbook. At Navan she backs Flaming Rib and Tornado Kiss each-way in the 14:14 handicap, Go Out at 9/2 in the 15:44 mile handicap, and Loingseoir each-way at 15/2 in the 16:15 contest.
Her Welsh fancies are Downonmainstreet at 7/2 in the 14:37 Ffos Las handicap and Fast Steps each-way at 7/1 in the 17:07 mile-and-a-quarter handicap. Loingseoir tops the list as bet of the day despite not winning recently.
Why is Flaming Rib the 20/1 Betfair odds fancy?
Flaming Rib has not won since a Doha success for former trainer Hugo Palmer more than three years ago, but Midwinter argues the seven-year-old is now on a lenient mark of 69 after once being rated as high as 113. The Ribchester gelding finished fourth at Dundalk last autumn and matched that at Down Royal earlier this summer for Ado McGuinness.
Adam Caffrey rides the in-form yard's runner. Midwinter describes him as a likeable performer on a going day who could finally strike from a forgiving rating. For readers tracking long-priced handicappers in our Bizarre News & Florida Man section, the 20/1 each-way price is the day's standout Betfair odds call.
What about Tornado Kiss and Loingseoir?
Tornado Kiss, trained by Andrew Slattery, runs off a mark of 77 in the same 14:14 Navan race. Midwinter notes the Acclamation filly is unexposed in handicaps with only two prior runs in this sphere, having placed in Listed company. Stepping back up in trip, the three-year-old warrants each-way consideration at 16/1.
Loingseoir carries top weight from a mark of 69 with 5lb claimer Jack Cleary booked. The 10-year-old is making his 80th start and bidding for an eighth win, just 3lb above his last winning mark despite creditable efforts in big-field handicaps this season.
How do other tipsters view Thursday's Navan card?
Tipsters disagree on which Navan races offer the best value. Betfred's nap is Atlantic Bridge at 7/4 in the 14:44 maiden, not the 14:14 handicap where Midwinter's fancies run. After fine efforts in defeat at the Curragh, the Dubawi Legend colt is tipped to get off the mark on his third start, with a drop back to five furlongs seen as a positive.
Racing TV presenter Johnny Ward has three separate Navan selections: Lohengrin at 25/1 (15:44), Cosmic Funk at 8/1 (16:15) and Love Orchid at 8/1 (16:49). Ward notes Colin Keane has seven rides at his local track while Dylan Browne McMonagle remains sidelined after a serious fall at Bellewstown, though he and fellow jockeys Gary Noonan and Paddy O'Brien are expected to recover.
Atlantic Bridge was originally booked for McMonagle before the injury, per Betfred's analysis. With multiple expert angles on Thursday's card, punters comparing Betfair odds across books have no shortage of contrasting views before the first Navan runner goes post.