Bizarre World · Felix Moon · 26 September 2026

Illinois Ohio State prediction: Week 4 odds and Under

Illinois Ohio State prediction: Week 4 odds and Under

The Illinois Ohio State Week 4 matchup tips off at noon ET Saturday at Ohio Stadium, with No. 7 Ohio State a 26.5-point favorite and the total at 54.5. SportsLine’s model leans Under after 10,000 sims projecting 48 points. Ohio State lists nine players out, including right tackle Phillip Daniels and defensive end Zion Grady.

Key Takeaways

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What are the Illinois Ohio State odds and kickoff time?

According to CBS Sports, kickoff is noon ET at Ohio Stadium. The latest line has Ohio State -26.5, with a total of 54.5 points.

Moneyline odds list the Buckeyes at -4348 and Illinois at +1675. No. 7 Ohio State (2-1) hosts the Fighting Illini (2-1) in a Big Ten opener for both sides.

What does the SportsLine model pick for Illinois Ohio State?

SportsLine’s projection model simulated the game 10,000 times and is leaning Under 54.5. It projects 48 combined points, with the Under hitting in 58% of those simulations.

CBS Sports notes the model is 22-19 on its top-rated college football picks this season after upgrades that better factor in the transfer portal. The model also flags one side of the spread as hitting in more than 60% of simulations, though that specific pick sits behind SportsLine’s paywall.

Junior quarterback Julian Sayin led Ohio State’s 59-3 blowout of Kent State after a 24-23 loss at No. 4 Texas. Illinois senior quarterback Katin Houser steered a 48-10 win over Southern Illinois after a Week 2 loss to Duke. The Illini defense’s 10-point outing against Southern Illinois helps explain why the model expects a controlled, lower-scoring game rather than a shootout.

Which Ohio State players are out vs. Illinois?

Eleven Warriors reports nine Buckeyes are out for the Illinois game. Starting right tackle Phillip Daniels and defensive end Zion Grady will miss a second straight contest after lower-body injuries suffered against Texas. Both were downgraded to doubtful Friday before being ruled out.

Also listed out: tight end Bennett Christian, running back Anthony “Turbo” Rogers, linebacker Braxton Rembert, offensive linemen Ian Gecse, Jaxon Powell and Vasean Washington, and walk-on wide receiver Amari Valerio-Hudson.

Defensive tackle James Smith and running back Legend Bey are available after leaving last week’s Kent State game with injuries. LSU transfer wide receiver Kyle Parker, who missed the first three games, was upgraded to probable and is available to play.

If Daniels sits again, Austin Siereveld is expected to start at right tackle with Gabe VanSickle at right guard, per Eleven Warriors. On the edge, Qua Russaw, Beau Atkinson and Epi Sitanilei are candidates for snaps opposite Kenyatta Jackson Jr. with Grady sidelined.

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