Germany vs Paraguay prediction, tips and odds for 2026
Germany are clear favourites to beat Paraguay in Monday's World Cup 2026 Round of 32 tie at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough. Major previews tip a Germany win — often 2-1 — with over 2.5 goals the standout bet. Germany topped Group E; Paraguay advanced as a best third-placed finisher in a germany paraguay clash that carries real knockout pressure.
Four-time champions Germany return to the World Cup knockout stage for the first time since 2014, while Paraguay are back in the last 32 for the first time since 2010. Kick-off is 9:30pm BST (20:30 UTC) at Boston Stadium, with Julian Nagelsmann's side chasing a path that could lead toward France in the last 16.
Key Takeaways
- Germany are priced at 4/11 to win in 90 minutes; Paraguay are 15/2 and the draw is 4/1.
- TNT Sports predicts Germany 2-1, with over 2.5 goals (1.72) as the top tip.
- Football365 backs Florian Wirtz to score at 21/10 in a narrow German win.
- Schlotterbeck is out for Germany; Diego Gómez is suspended for Paraguay.
- H2H record: Germany one win, one draw — including a 1-0 win at the 2002 World Cup.
Who is favoured in the Germany vs Paraguay odds?
Bookmakers make Germany heavy favourites. Football365 lists them at 4/11 to win in regulation, with Paraguay at 15/2 and the draw at 4/1. In the to-qualify market — covering extra time and penalties — Germany are 1/6 and Paraguay 9/2.
FotMob ranks Germany 10th in the FIFA rankings against Paraguay's 41st. TNT Sports notes Germany have scored at least twice in seven of their last eight matches, while both teams have found the net in six of Germany's last seven outings.
What is the predicted scoreline for Germany vs Paraguay?
TNT Sports forecasts a 2-1 Germany win, citing superior attacking depth against a Paraguay side that scored just twice in the group stage. Football365 leans toward a tighter affair — echoing Germany's 1-0 win over Paraguay at the 2002 World Cup — and tips Wirtz to break his goal drought at 21/10.
Both outlets highlight the goals market. TNT's top tip is over 2.5 goals at 1.72, backed by Germany clearing that line in five of their past six World Cup outings. Kai Havertz (2.20 anytime scorer) and Wirtz (1.80 scorer or assist) are flagged as value picks.
Who is missing from the Germany and Paraguay lineups?
Nico Schlotterbeck is ruled out for Germany with an ankle injury sustained against Ivory Coast, per FIFA's official preview. Nathaniel Brown is a doubt at left-back. Antonio Rüdiger and Jonathan Tah are expected to partner at centre-back.
Paraguay lose suspended midfielder Diego Gómez, while Omar Alderete faces a late fitness test. Miguel Almirón returns after serving a one-match ban. FotMob's predicted XIs show Germany in a 4-2-3-1 with Havertz, Wirtz and Musiala in attack, and Paraguay in a 4-4-2 led by Ávalos and Enciso.
Why does this germany paraguay tie matter beyond the result?
Germany's 2-1 loss to Ecuador ended an 11-match winning streak and raised questions about a defence that has not kept a World Cup clean sheet since the 2014 final. Paraguay, meanwhile, kept back-to-back clean sheets against Turkey and Australia but were hammered 4-1 by the USA on opening night.
A German win sets up a potential last-16 blockbuster against France. For more offbeat World Cup angles, see our Bizarre World coverage.