Germany vs Paraguay prediction and odds for World Cup 2026

Germany are heavy favourites in their World Cup 2026 round-of-32 clash with Paraguay at Boston Stadium on Monday, 29 June. Previewers expect a narrow Germany win—likely 1-0—while bookmakers price Die Mannschaft at 4/11 and Paraguay at 15/2 in 90 minutes. The germany paraguay tie matters because Germany's first knockout match in 12 years follows a sloppy 2-1 group-stage loss to Ecuador.

Paraguay advanced as one of the eight best third-placed teams after a goalless draw with Australia. Both sides are chasing a last-16 berth that could set up a blockbuster meeting with France.

Key Takeaways

• Germany are 4/11 favourites at Boston Stadium, with Paraguay at 15/2 and the draw at 4/1, per Football365.
• Football365 tips a tight 1-0 Germany win, echoing their 2002 World Cup last-16 meeting.
• Nico Schlotterbeck is out for Germany; Diego Gómez is suspended and Miguel Almirón returns for Paraguay.
• FotMob lists predicted lineups of 4-2-3-1 for Germany and 4-4-2 for Paraguay, kick-off at 20:30 UTC.
• Paraguay kept back-to-back clean sheets but scored only twice in the group phase.

Why does this Germany Paraguay knockout tie matter?

Germany opened the tournament with a 7-1 hammering of Curaçao and sealed the group with a 2-1 comeback over Ivory Coast. Their 2-1 defeat to Ecuador ended a winning run and renewed scrutiny of Manuel Neuer and Julian Nagelsmann's setup.

For Paraguay, a 4-1 opening loss to the USA was followed by a 1-0 upset of Turkey and the 0-0 draw that sent both South American and Australian sides through. It is their first knockout appearance since 2010.

The winner is projected to face France in the round of 16. That stakes make this more than a formality for a four-time champion still smarting from 2018 and 2022 group-stage exits.

Who is missing for Germany and Paraguay?

Centre-back Nico Schlotterbeck is ruled out for the rest of the tournament with an ankle injury, according to FotMob. Omar Alderete is also doubtful for Paraguay with a knee issue.

Paraguay midfielder Diego Gómez serves a suspension after picking up two yellow cards in the group stage. Miguel Almirón is back after a one-match ban for his red card against Turkey, where he was sent off under a new rule for addressing an opponent while covering his mouth.

There is also debate in Germany over Joshua Kimmich's role, with some calling for the Bayern Munich star to move from right-back into midfield.

What do the Germany Paraguay odds and tips say?

Despite the Ecuador setback, Germany are hot 4/11 favourites to win in 90 minutes. Paraguay are 15/2 and the draw is 4/1. In the to-qualify market, Germany are 1/6 and Paraguay 9/2.

Football365 notes bookmakers have not been fully convinced by Germany so far, pricing them at 20/1 to win the trophy with France likely waiting in the next round. A Germany win by one goal is listed at 11/4, while a 1-0 scoreline is 6/1.

Florian Wirtz, who has two assists at this World Cup but no goal yet, is tipped at 21/10 to score anytime. He has 11 goals in his last 30 international appearances.

What is the predicted scoreline and lineup?

Football365's germany paraguay prediction points to a repeat of the 2002 last-16: a 1-0 Germany win against an organised Paraguay side. Boston Stadium has already produced low-scoring games, including two 1-0 results in five matches.

FotMob's predicted Germany XI in a 4-2-3-1 features Neuer; Kimmich, Tah, Rüdiger, Brown; Nmecha, Pavlović; Sané, Musiala, Wirtz; Havertz. Paraguay are set up 4-4-2 with Gill in goal and Enciso and Ávalos up front.

For more offbeat headlines from the sports world, see our Bizarre News & Florida Man section. Kick-off is 9.30pm BST on BBC One.