CCP Palmeiras prediction: Libertadores odds and tips
Palmeiras are tipped to beat Cerro Porteño in the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 second leg on August 19, 2026, after a 1-1 first-leg draw in São Paulo. Previewers back the Brazilians at about -130, citing knockout experience, though the ccp palmeiras rivalry has stayed tight across three 2026 meetings.
Cerro Porteño host Palmeiras at Estadio General Pablo Rojas — La Nueva Olla — in Asunción, with kick-off at 18:00. Pablo Vegetti's late equaliser in the opening leg left everything to play for in Paraguay, where the home side have been unbeaten in this season's Libertadores.
Key Takeaways
- The tie sits level at 1-1 after the first leg at Allianz Parque, setting up a winner-takes-all second leg in Asunción.
- Palmeiras are market favourites at roughly -130, with Sportsgambler projecting a 0-2 away win and Sports Mole forecasting 1-2.
- Andreas Pereira is suspended for Palmeiras after a red card in the first leg; Cerro Porteño's attack is fully fit.
- Cerro Porteño topped the group with 13 points and conceded just two goals, but Palmeiras hold a strong historical edge in this fixture.
- Confirmed lineups feature Pablo Vegetti for Cerro Porteño and José López plus Vitor Roque up front for Palmeiras.
What makes this ccp palmeiras tie so finely balanced?
Cerro Porteño finished top of their Libertadores group with 13 points from six games, allowing only two goals. Ariel Holan's side drew 1-1 in São Paulo thanks to Vegetti's late leveller and remain unbeaten at La Nueva Olla this campaign.
Palmeiras finished second on 11 points and have been sharper on the road in continental competition than domestically, including a 3-2 loss at Fluminense. Abel Ferreira is expected to absorb pressure and counter, with Flaco López and Vitor Roque leading the line.
The clubs have met 12 times in the Libertadores. Palmeiras have seven wins, Cerro Porteño one, and two draws. In 2026 alone, Cerro won 1-0 in São Paulo during the group stage before back-to-back 1-1 draws in Asunción and in the first knockout leg — evidence that neither side has cracked the other yet.
Who is likely to start for Cerro Porteño and Palmeiras?
Sportsgambler published confirmed lineups ahead of kick-off. Cerro Porteño set up in a 5-3-2: Manuel Roffo; Alexis Canete, Gustavo Velazquez, Lucas Quintana, Ivan Ramirez, Marcelo Chaparro; Fabricio Dominguez, Ariel Gamarra, Jorge Morel; Ignacio Aliseda, Pablo Vegetti.
Palmeiras lined up 4-4-2 without the suspended Andreas Pereira: Carlos Miguel; Murilo Cerqueira, Gustavo Gomez, Alexander Barboza, Allan; Marlon Freitas, Lucas Evangelista, Joaquin Piquerez, Jhon Arias; Jose Lopez, Vitor Roque. Sports Mole also noted Allan Elias, Marlon Freitas and Emiliano Martinez reshuffling midfield in Pereira's absence.
Vegetti's aerial threat and Cerro's set-piece strength could test Gustavo Gomez at the back, while width from Fabricio Dominguez and Cecilio Dominguez — noted by Sports Mole — adds another route to goal for the hosts.
What do the betting odds and expert predictions say?
Palmeiras to win is the main market pick at -130, implying roughly a 56-65% chance according to Sportsgambler's analysts. Cerro Porteño are available around +380, while Under 2.5 goals sits near -185 and Both Teams to Score No near -161.
Correct-score markets highlight Palmeiras 2-0 at +510 on Sportsgambler, matching Sports Mole's 1-2 prediction. Player props include Allan Elias over 0.5 shots on target at -120 and Jhon Arias anytime scorer at +280. For deeper analysis, see the Sports Mole preview.
AP photographers captured Pablo Vegetti and Gustavo Gomez contesting a header during the second leg in Asunción, underscoring the physical battle expected in a tie where one goal could decide quarter-final passage.
Why does this Libertadores clash matter beyond Paraguay?
A narrow Palmeiras win would extend their continental pedigree against a Cerro Porteño side riding home support. For readers tracking South American football's stranger storylines, our Bizarre World desk follows how continental drama unfolds far from the usual European headlines.
Whether Holan's compact shape or Ferreira's counter-punching prevails, the ccp palmeiras decider caps a rivalry that has produced three draws or one-goal margins in 2026 alone. That tension is exactly why Libertadores knockout nights in Asunción still command global attention.